US equity futures fall with big name earnings in focus

US equity futures fall with big name earnings in focus
Trade war concerns are also increasing, weakening global stocks.
FEB 05, 2025
By  Bloomberg

by Robert Brand and Margaryta Kirakosian

US equity futures dropped along with stocks in Europe as investors navigate the trade war and a busy slate of earnings from some of the world’s biggest companies. 

Futures on the Nasdaq 100 were down 0.9% as Google parent Alphabet Inc. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. tumbled in US pre-market trading after disappointing results. Contracts on the S&P 500 fell 0.6%. The Stoxx Europe 600 edged lower, with declines for technology shares offsetting gains in health care after upbeat guidance from the region’s biggest listed company, Novo Nordisk A/S.

While the first volleys in the latest US-China trade war made clear that Xi Jinping is taking a more cautious approach than during Donald Trump’s first term, tariff risks remain at the forefront. Disappointing results from Alphabet and AMD also heightened unease about the outlook for megacap tech companies that have driven the S&P 500’s gains. Amazon.com Inc. is scheduled to report on Thursday.

“It remains tough for anyone to have a particularly high degree of conviction when operating in such an uncertain environment,” said Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone Group Ltd. “I still favor adopting a more cautious stance in the short run, as uncertainty remains elevated, and participants chew through this week’s remaining risk events, including earnings from Amazon, and Friday’s US jobs report.”

The yen gained against the greenback and gold rose to a record high on haven demand. The 10-year Treasury yield dipped and an index of dollar strength extended losses, after US job openings fell in December by more than forecast to a three-month low. 

Alphabet posted fourth-quarter revenue that missed analysts’ expectations after growth in its cloud business slowed, raising concern from investors about the billions the company is spending on artificial intelligence. Chip maker AMD gave a disappointing outlook for its data center business, an area where it’s struggling to catch up with AI computing leader Nvidia Corp.

“Those expectations that analysts have placed, the bar is a lot higher this time,” said Aneeka Gupta, director of macro-economic research at Wisdnomtree UK Ltd. “There is a greater probability that they don’t meet that higher bar. If they disappoint, the ramifications are a lot bigger.”

Apple Inc. dropped in premarket trading after China’s antitrust watchdog signaled a probe into the company’s policies. US companies reporting results on Wednesday include Uber Technologies Inc., The Walt Disney C., Ford Motor Co. and Qualcomm Inc.

Traders will also look to the US ISM services data later today for more clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate path. Activity in the services sector likely grew more slowly in January amid winter storms across much of the country and wildfires on the West Coast. High-frequency payroll data suggest hiring activity was relatively steady on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Bloomberg Economics.

Among individual movers in Europe, Spanish lender Banco Santander SA surged after reporting record profit and announcing at €10 billion buyback. Drugmaker GSK Plc. jumped after boosting its sales forecast. 

A gauge of Asian shares rose for a second straight day while equities fell in China, which reopened Wednesday after Lunar New Year holidays. 

Amid rising trade tensions, the US Postal Service said it was temporarily suspending inbound international packages from China and Hong Kong. While it’s not clear what prompted the move, it comes after Trump revoked a “de minimis” rule for China, which previously allowed small packages under $800 to enter the US duty-free.

“Trade relations between the US and China remain a risk, though if the 10% US tariff and China’s response measures were to be postponed, it will be good for the market,” said Kenny Wen, head of investment strategy at KGI Asia Ltd. “On the other hand, the disputes may escalate again.”

Trump told reporters there’s no rush to talk to Xi and he’ll speak to the Chinese president at the appropriate time.

In commodities, oil declined as concerns that the trade war would hurt global growth outweighed the announcement of reinforced sanctions on Iran.

Key events this week:

  • Eurozone HCOB Services PMI, PPI, Wednesday
  • US trade, Wednesday
  • Fed’s Austan Goolsbee, Tom Barkin, Michelle Bowman, Philip Jefferson speak, Wednesday
  • Eurozone retail sales, Thursday
  • UK rate decision, Thursday
  • US initial jobless claims, Thursday
  • Fed’s Christopher Waller, Lorie Logan speak, Thursday
  • Amazon earnings, Thursday
  • US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday
  • Fed’s Michelle Bowman, Adriana Kugler speak, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.1% as of 9:27 a.m. London time
  • S&P 500 futures fell 0.6%
  • Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.9%
  • Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3%
  • The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.8%
  • The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 0.4%

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3%
  • The euro rose 0.3% to $1.0414
  • The Japanese yen rose 0.9% to 152.90 per dollar
  • The offshore yuan rose 0.2% to 7.2728 per dollar
  • The British pound rose 0.4% to $1.2525

Cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin rose 1.4% to $97,852.25
  • Ether rose 5.1% to $2,773.68

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined three basis points to 4.48%
  • Germany’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 2.36%
  • Britain’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 4.47%

Commodities

  • Brent crude fell 0.9% to $75.52 a barrel
  • Spot gold rose 0.9% to $2,869.43 an ounce

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

 

Copyright Bloomberg News

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