Flight to safety is biggest since Lehman Brothers collapse

Investors are shifting from equities to money funds and bonds.
OCT 11, 2019
By  Bloomberg
Investors haven't been this bearish since the collapse of Lehman Brothers. At least that's what their positioning is signaling, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategists. Over the past six months, money-market funds attracted $322 billion of inflows, the largest flight to safe assets since the second half of 2008. In similar fashion to 2007 and 2008, investors have raised their cash holdings in the face of falling interest rates. Strategists led by Michael Hartnett wrote in a note Friday that investors are suffering from "bearish paralysis," driven by unresolved issues such as the trade war, Brexit, the Trump impeachment investigation and recession fears. [Recommended video: Retirement advisers can boost business by focusing on participants in these ways] ​ Just in the seven-day period ending Wednesday, investors continued to exit equity funds globally, with outflows reaching $9.8 billion, according to the strategists, who cite data from EPFR Global. By contrast, bond funds enjoyed $11.1 billion of inflows. [More: How gold could replace bonds as a portfolio diversifier] Despite this wall of worries, the BofAML strategists have an "irrationally bullish" contrarian view, driven by the "bearish positioning, desperate liquidity easing, and 'irrational contagion' from bond bubble to equities." After Greece auctioned negatively yielding bills and the U.S. auctioned 30-year Treasury bonds at a record low yield this week, they see the current positioning in bonds delaying a global recession, which should drive further equity performance. [More: Advisers say go for the gold as the perfect hedge for trade-war fears]

Latest News

Blackstone taps former Lazard leader Jennifer Abate to head RIA wealth unit
Blackstone taps former Lazard leader Jennifer Abate to head RIA wealth unit

The alts giant's latest executive hire builds on its continuing strategy to expand into the private wealth space.

The 'magic number' of $1.3M for retirement: on the money, or off the mark?
The 'magic number' of $1.3M for retirement: on the money, or off the mark?

While it's a useful rule of thumb, wealth industry experts agree Social Security benefits, retirement income planning, and individual expenses should also be factored in.

Wall Street's biggest bull stands pat on S&P 7,000 call
Wall Street's biggest bull stands pat on S&P 7,000 call

The holdout optimist from Wells Fargo sees market "past peak uncertainty" as trade war fears push many cheerleaders to pare back their predictions.

2025 InvestmentNews Awards: The race is on
2025 InvestmentNews Awards: The race is on

Last year's standout winners reflect on their triumph as the wealth industry gears up for another unforgettable night in New York City.

Advisors watching for dip in fees on biggest clients: Cerulli
Advisors watching for dip in fees on biggest clients: Cerulli

Financial advisors are becoming a bit more leery that fees, particularly for their wealthiest clients, are on the verge of taking a hit.

SPONSORED The evolution of private credit

From direct lending to asset-based finance to commercial real estate debt.

SPONSORED Compliance in real time: Technology's expanding role in RIA oversight

RIAs face rising regulatory pressure in 2025. Forward-looking firms are responding with embedded technology, not more paperwork.