Capsule: Burton Malkiel, Princeton University

The best part about the year ahead will be that it will only last 12 months, Mr. Malkiel said.
JAN 04, 2009
By  Bloomberg
BURTON MALKIEL Professor of economics and finance Princeton University Princeton, N.J. General outlook: The best part about the year ahead will be that it will only last 12 months, Mr. Malkiel said. "Nobody can predict short-term market movements, but the economy is going to be very slow and that means a terrible first quarter in 2009," he said. "Eventually, near the end of the year, I think we'll start to see some movement as a result of all the liquidity being put into the system,"Mr. Malkiel added. Investors will need patience and they should not expect a quick recovery, he warned. "This will not be a V-shaped recovery, but I think we'll start to see the beginning of a recovery toward the end of 2009." Next big trend: Real investment opportunities for anyone with a longer time horizon. "For those people with a five- or 10-year outlook, both bonds and stocks are going to look attractive," he said. Biggest concern: Deflation in 2009 and inflation two to three years down the road. "We're putting enormous liquidity into the system worldwide," he said. "And as India and China continue to grow, there's going to be a lot of price pressure." Watching, reading, listening to: Book: "Enough" by John C. Bogle (John Wiley & Sons Inc., 2008). Newspapers: Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times.

Latest News

RIA M&A stays brisk in first quarter with record pace of dealmaking
RIA M&A stays brisk in first quarter with record pace of dealmaking

Driven by robust transaction activity amid market turbulence and increased focus on billion-dollar plus targets, Echelon Partners expects another all-time high in 2025.

New York Dems push for return of tax on stock sales
New York Dems push for return of tax on stock sales

The looming threat of federal funding cuts to state and local governments has lawmakers weighing a levy that was phased out in 1981.

Human Interest and Income Lab streamline workflows for retirement-focused advisors
Human Interest and Income Lab streamline workflows for retirement-focused advisors

The fintech firms' new tools and integrations address pain points in overseeing investment lineups, account monitoring, and more.

Buy or sell Canada? Wealth managers watch carefully as Canadians head to the polls
Buy or sell Canada? Wealth managers watch carefully as Canadians head to the polls

Canadian stocks are on a roll in 2025 as the country prepares to name a new Prime Minister.

Carson, Lido strengthen RIA networks with bicoastal deals
Carson, Lido strengthen RIA networks with bicoastal deals

Carson is expanding one of its relationships in Florida while Lido Advisors adds an $870 million practice in Silicon Valley.

SPONSORED Compliance in real time: Technology's expanding role in RIA oversight

RIAs face rising regulatory pressure in 2025. Forward-looking firms are responding with embedded technology, not more paperwork.

SPONSORED Advisory firms confront crossroads amid historic wealth transfer

As inheritances are set to reshape client portfolios and next-gen heirs demand digital-first experiences, firms are retooling their wealth tech stacks and succession models in real time.