China stock-market drop to get worse before it gets better — but it will rebound eventually

China stock-market drop to get worse before it gets better — but it will rebound eventually
It's premature to think that Chinese stocks have hit rock bottom, but investing for the long term means getting in at the right time and riding out inevitable storms.
JUL 28, 2015
The greatest one-day drop in Chinese stocks in eight years on Monday is not a signal that markets have bottomed out in China, according to financial advisers, who nevertheless urge investors — including those with China exposure in their portfolio — to keep a long-term perspective. “It would be best to stay away from Chinese stocks for now,” said David Kudla, founder and chief executive of Mainstay Capital Management. “Efforts in China [to reverse the bear market] haven't worked.” His investment advisory firm started selling its Chinese positions in May and eliminated its last-remaining investments in June. Before that, the firm enjoyed gains from China's nine-month bull market, he said. The Shanghai Composite Index fell more than 8.5% on Monday after China's markets had been relatively stable for nearly three weeks following an effort by the government in Beijing to stop a market selloff. The rout marked the largest one-day fall since Feb. 27, 2007. Before the Chinese government announced a rescue plan on July 8, the country's markets had fallen about 30% from their highs in early June. NO IMPACT ON INVESTORS' LONG-TERM HEALTH Fritz Brauner, president of The Brauner Company, said he trusts the fund managers he's chosen to make the best moves in those markets, while he keeps investors focused on the long term. “I help clients keep perspective and not get distracted, even by this pretty spectacular news,” he said. “This won't have an impact on their long-term financial health.” In recent weeks, some fund managers had begun selling off China shares. (More: Major index punts on adding China's booming markets to global indexes) China's rout on Monday pushed European stocks down 2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down about 150 points, or 0.86%, as of 1:30 p.m. New York time. “Valuations are so high; air is not done coming out of the Chinese stock market bubble yet,” Mr. Kudla said. Nigel Green, founder and chief executive of deVere Group, said the latest drop shows investors remain uncertain. He said the Chinese government will need to do more to boost domestic consumption and avoid a more significant economic slowdown. 'CHINA-PROOF' PORTFOLIOS Mr. Green said investors “should consider 'China-proofing' their portfolios to manage risk and benefit from the inevitable buying opportunities. "The best way to achieve this is to ensure that portfolios are properly balanced across regions, assets and industries and to work with a good fund manager who will be able to help take advantage of these opportunities,” he said.

Latest News

Stocks rise ahead of packed week of earnings, data
Stocks rise ahead of packed week of earnings, data

Four of the Magnificent Seven will report this week.

Gold down more than 5% in less than a week
Gold down more than 5% in less than a week

Easing anxiety has seen the haven asset slide from record high.

Bond managers grapple with multiple unanswered questions
Bond managers grapple with multiple unanswered questions

Uncertainty remains challenging for Treasuries traders.

Consumers facing higher costs as Chinese firms pass on tariff burden
Consumers facing higher costs as Chinese firms pass on tariff burden

Move will raise concerns of inflationary impact of tariffs.

Americans earning under $200K could pay less tax, or perhaps nothing says Trump
Americans earning under $200K could pay less tax, or perhaps nothing says Trump

President says tariffs could see income tax ‘completely eliminated’ for some

SPONSORED Compliance in real time: Technology's expanding role in RIA oversight

RIAs face rising regulatory pressure in 2025. Forward-looking firms are responding with embedded technology, not more paperwork.

SPONSORED Advisory firms confront crossroads amid historic wealth transfer

As inheritances are set to reshape client portfolios and next-gen heirs demand digital-first experiences, firms are retooling their wealth tech stacks and succession models in real time.