Does anyone care about earnings anymore?

Does anyone care about earnings anymore?
Analysts continue to cut their their price predictions for large caps despite hefty corporate profits. One even went so far as to raise his projections for large-cap earnings, but lowered his estimates for the S&amp;P 500 | <b>Extra</b> <a href=http://www.investmentnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/gallery?Site=CI&amp;Date=20111003&amp;Category=FREE&amp;ArtNo=100309999&amp;Ref=PH>Reasons to be cheerful/fearful about stocks</a>
OCT 03, 2011
By  John Goff
Oppenheimer & Co., HSBC Holdings Plc (HSBA) and Barclays Plc cut estimates for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, citing Europe's debt crisis and U.S. budget battles. Brian Belski, chief investment strategist at Oppenheimer, cut his year-end 2012 forecast for the benchmark equity gauge to 1,400 from 1,475 and his profit forecast for next year to $101 a share from $112. He also lifted his projection for earnings this year to $96 from $94. Garry Evans, head of global equity strategy at HSBC, slashed his prediction for the S&P 500's close in 2011 by 21 percent to 1,130. Barclays's Barry Knapp reduced his 2011 forecast for the index to 1,260 from 1,326 and his 2012 earnings estimate to $102 from $105. “Against a backdrop of slowing global growth, ongoing sovereign debt issues in Europe, uncertainty regarding U.S. fiscal and regulatory policies and anemic labor market growth, the market is likely to struggle for longer-term gains,” New York-based Belski wrote in a note dated Oct. 7. Concern European officials will fail to contain the region's debt crisis and the global economy will slip into a recession has wiped about $10 trillion from world equity markets. The S&P 500 fell below 1,100 for the first time in more than a year last week, sending the measure within 1 percent of a bear market, and climbed 3.4 percent to 1,194.89 today. U.S. stocks are trading at about 13 times earnings, close to the lowest levels since March 2009. ‘Continue to Fret' “It is not clear the world is going into recession but markets will continue to fret about this,” Hong Kong-based Evans wrote in a note. “In this environment, catalysts will matter more than valuations.” A team at Morgan Stanley Smith Barney lowered its recommendations for riskier holdings while boosting ratings for assets considered “safe havens” such as bonds and cash. A team led by Chief Investment Officer Jeff Applegate and Chief Investment Strategist David Darst cut their ratings for global equities to “underweight” from “overweight', citing the increasing risk of a recession in the U.S. and the rest of the developed world. ‘‘This is the most significant change to our tactical asset allocation in more than two years, as we are decisively moving to bearish from bullish,'' the Morgan Stanley note said. ‘‘The primary source of the recent financial market distress -- with, we think, more to come -- has been a combination of policy inaction and ineptness in the U.S. and Europe.'' The firm also lowered its recommendations for commodities and real estate investment trusts to ‘‘underweight'' from ‘‘overweight,'' while raising bonds to ‘‘marketweight'' from ‘‘underweight'' and cash to ‘‘overweight'' from ‘‘underweight.'' --Bloomberg News--

Latest News

RIA M&A stays brisk in first quarter with record pace of dealmaking
RIA M&A stays brisk in first quarter with record pace of dealmaking

Driven by robust transaction activity amid market turbulence and increased focus on billion-dollar plus targets, Echelon Partners expects another all-time high in 2025.

New York Dems push for return of tax on stock sales
New York Dems push for return of tax on stock sales

The looming threat of federal funding cuts to state and local governments has lawmakers weighing a levy that was phased out in 1981.

Human Interest and Income Lab streamline workflows for retirement-focused advisors
Human Interest and Income Lab streamline workflows for retirement-focused advisors

The fintech firms' new tools and integrations address pain points in overseeing investment lineups, account monitoring, and more.

Buy or sell Canada? Wealth managers watch carefully as Canadians head to the polls
Buy or sell Canada? Wealth managers watch carefully as Canadians head to the polls

Canadian stocks are on a roll in 2025 as the country prepares to name a new Prime Minister.

Carson, Lido strengthen RIA networks with bicoastal deals
Carson, Lido strengthen RIA networks with bicoastal deals

Carson is expanding one of its relationships in Florida while Lido Advisors adds an $870 million practice in Silicon Valley.

SPONSORED Compliance in real time: Technology's expanding role in RIA oversight

RIAs face rising regulatory pressure in 2025. Forward-looking firms are responding with embedded technology, not more paperwork.

SPONSORED Advisory firms confront crossroads amid historic wealth transfer

As inheritances are set to reshape client portfolios and next-gen heirs demand digital-first experiences, firms are retooling their wealth tech stacks and succession models in real time.