Flight to safety is biggest since Lehman Brothers collapse

Investors are shifting from equities to money funds and bonds.
OCT 11, 2019
By  Bloomberg
Investors haven't been this bearish since the collapse of Lehman Brothers. At least that's what their positioning is signaling, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategists. Over the past six months, money-market funds attracted $322 billion of inflows, the largest flight to safe assets since the second half of 2008. In similar fashion to 2007 and 2008, investors have raised their cash holdings in the face of falling interest rates. Strategists led by Michael Hartnett wrote in a note Friday that investors are suffering from "bearish paralysis," driven by unresolved issues such as the trade war, Brexit, the Trump impeachment investigation and recession fears. [Recommended video: Retirement advisers can boost business by focusing on participants in these ways] ​ Just in the seven-day period ending Wednesday, investors continued to exit equity funds globally, with outflows reaching $9.8 billion, according to the strategists, who cite data from EPFR Global. By contrast, bond funds enjoyed $11.1 billion of inflows. [More: How gold could replace bonds as a portfolio diversifier] Despite this wall of worries, the BofAML strategists have an "irrationally bullish" contrarian view, driven by the "bearish positioning, desperate liquidity easing, and 'irrational contagion' from bond bubble to equities." After Greece auctioned negatively yielding bills and the U.S. auctioned 30-year Treasury bonds at a record low yield this week, they see the current positioning in bonds delaying a global recession, which should drive further equity performance. [More: Advisers say go for the gold as the perfect hedge for trade-war fears]

Latest News

Integrated Partners, Kestra welcome multigenerational advisor teams
Integrated Partners, Kestra welcome multigenerational advisor teams

Integrated Partners is adding a mother-son tandem to its network in Missouri as Kestra onboards a father-son advisor duo from UBS.

Trump not planning to fire Powell, market tension eases
Trump not planning to fire Powell, market tension eases

Futures indicate stocks will build on Tuesday's rally.

From stocks and economy to their own finances, consumers are getting gloomier
From stocks and economy to their own finances, consumers are getting gloomier

Cost of living still tops concerns about negative impacts on personal finances

Women share investing strengths, asset preferences in new study
Women share investing strengths, asset preferences in new study

Financial advisors remain vital allies even as DIY investing grows

Trump vows to 'be nice' to China, slash tariffs
Trump vows to 'be nice' to China, slash tariffs

A trade deal would mean significant cut in tariffs but 'it wont be zero'.

SPONSORED Compliance in real time: Technology's expanding role in RIA oversight

RIAs face rising regulatory pressure in 2025. Forward-looking firms are responding with embedded technology, not more paperwork.

SPONSORED Advisory firms confront crossroads amid historic wealth transfer

As inheritances are set to reshape client portfolios and next-gen heirs demand digital-first experiences, firms are retooling their wealth tech stacks and succession models in real time.