Is male traders' overconfidence responsible for market bubbles?

Is male traders' overconfidence responsible for market bubbles?
Research shows more women traders equals smaller and fewer blow-ups.
FEB 19, 2015
New social science research has exposed what may be the cause of the high level of volatility in U.S. equity and other markets so far this year, and it isn't low oil prices, Greece's economic woes or the weak conditions in Europe and Japan. Men are the culprit. More specifically, male-dominated markets, according to research published in the February 2015 journal American Economic Review. Researchers found that all-female markets generated smaller “bubbles,” in which asset prices rose substantially above fundamental values and then crashed, compared with market sessions conducted with all male participants. The market sessions were conducted in a lab setting where nine “traders” bought and sold 18 assets, according to the article by Catherine Eckel and Sascha Fullbrunn, “Thar SHE Blows? Gender, Competition, and Bubbles in Experimental Asset Markets.” The study also looked at the impact of having a mixed group of male and female traders. It concluded that an increase in the number of women in the markets led to smaller bubbles, the article said. “The results imply that financial markets might indeed operate differently if women operated them,” Ms. Eckel and Ms. Fullbrunn said. See: Jack Bogle: 5 growing dangers to investors Some have blamed men's “competitive nature and overconfidence” for the collapse of the housing market in 2008, the authors wrote, noting that only about 10% of Wall Street traders are women. “Our data suggest that increasing the proportion of women traders might have a dampening effect on the likelihood and magnitude of bubbles,” the article concludes. Their research also showed women's price forecasts were significantly lower than the male traders'. The study suggests smaller bubbles occurred in market sessions that included more traders who were risk averse and larger bubbles when sessions contained traders who were more competitive. However, neither of these traits could be statistically pegged to women versus men traders, the article said. (More: The Journey's Goal: More women on Corporate Boards)

Latest News

RIA M&A stays brisk in first quarter with record pace of dealmaking
RIA M&A stays brisk in first quarter with record pace of dealmaking

Driven by robust transaction activity amid market turbulence and increased focus on billion-dollar plus targets, Echelon Partners expects another all-time high in 2025.

New York Dems push for return of tax on stock sales
New York Dems push for return of tax on stock sales

The looming threat of federal funding cuts to state and local governments has lawmakers weighing a levy that was phased out in 1981.

Human Interest and Income Lab streamline workflows for retirement-focused advisors
Human Interest and Income Lab streamline workflows for retirement-focused advisors

The fintech firms' new tools and integrations address pain points in overseeing investment lineups, account monitoring, and more.

Buy or sell Canada? Wealth managers watch carefully as Canadians head to the polls
Buy or sell Canada? Wealth managers watch carefully as Canadians head to the polls

Canadian stocks are on a roll in 2025 as the country prepares to name a new Prime Minister.

Carson, Lido strengthen RIA networks with bicoastal deals
Carson, Lido strengthen RIA networks with bicoastal deals

Carson is expanding one of its relationships in Florida while Lido Advisors adds an $870 million practice in Silicon Valley.

SPONSORED Compliance in real time: Technology's expanding role in RIA oversight

RIAs face rising regulatory pressure in 2025. Forward-looking firms are responding with embedded technology, not more paperwork.

SPONSORED Advisory firms confront crossroads amid historic wealth transfer

As inheritances are set to reshape client portfolios and next-gen heirs demand digital-first experiences, firms are retooling their wealth tech stacks and succession models in real time.