Global credit spreads increase on banks' exposure to bad loans

Global credit spreads increase on banks' exposure to bad loans
Corporate and investment-grade financial bonds have seen large increases.
FEB 02, 2024
By  Bloomberg

Global credit spreads are heading for the biggest weekly increase in four months as bubbling property market stresses prompt banks to increase bad-loan provisions.

Spreads on corporate bonds globally have widened eight basis points since last Friday, the biggest weekly jump since early October, while those on investment-grade financial bonds have risen seven basis points, Bloomberg indexes showed. Spreads on bonds issued by Asian lenders are about one basis point higher on average Friday.

Bad news stemming from banks’ real estate exposure is coming thick and fast. Shares in US regional lender New York Community Bancorp slid by almost 50% over the past two days after it ramped up provisions for loan losses, while Japan’s Aozora Bank Ltd. forecast an annual loss due to bad loans linked to US commercial real estate. Deutsche Bank AG more than quadrupled its US property loss provisions.

“For the first time since late October, market sentiment has turned markedly negative,” Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts including Lotfi Karoui in New York wrote in a research note. Investors should add “a dose of hedges to credit portfolio” as weaknesses in US regional banks add to the risk-off mood, they said. 

Concerns are mounting about the potential pain for banks as elevated interest rates push down commercial property values in the US and elsewhere, and make it more difficult for developers in refinancing their debt. The downbeat news from banks comes just as the Federal Reserve this week pushed back against the prospect of an interest-rate cut in March.

Shares in Aozora Bank extended losses Friday, plummeting as much as 19% in Tokyo. Spreads on the bank’s dollar bonds maturing in 2026 have more than doubled over the past two days, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Latest News

New York Dems push for return of tax on stock sales
New York Dems push for return of tax on stock sales

The looming threat of federal funding cuts to state and local governments has lawmakers weighing a levy that was phased out in 1981.

Human Interest and Income Lab streamline workflows for retirement-focused advisors
Human Interest and Income Lab streamline workflows for retirement-focused advisors

The fintech firms' new tools and integrations address pain points in overseeing investment lineups, account monitoring, and more.

Buy or sell Canada? Wealth managers watch carefully as Canadians head to the polls
Buy or sell Canada? Wealth managers watch carefully as Canadians head to the polls

Canadian stocks are on a roll in 2025 as the country prepares to name a new Prime Minister.

Carson, Lido strengthen RIA networks with bicoastal deals
Carson, Lido strengthen RIA networks with bicoastal deals

Carson is expanding one of its relationships in Florida while Lido Advisors adds an $870 million practice in Silicon Valley.

Goldman gets shareholder backing on $80M executive bonus packages
Goldman gets shareholder backing on $80M executive bonus packages

The approval of the pay proposal, which handsomely compensates its CEO and president, bolsters claims that big payouts are a must in the war to retain leadership.

SPONSORED Compliance in real time: Technology's expanding role in RIA oversight

RIAs face rising regulatory pressure in 2025. Forward-looking firms are responding with embedded technology, not more paperwork.

SPONSORED Advisory firms confront crossroads amid historic wealth transfer

As inheritances are set to reshape client portfolios and next-gen heirs demand digital-first experiences, firms are retooling their wealth tech stacks and succession models in real time.