Will 'taxmageddon' become a reality? Obama veto should seal the deal

Will 'taxmageddon' become a reality? Obama veto should seal the deal
President promises to shoot down bill extending Bush era tax cuts for wealthy; does not augur well for HNW clients
JUL 13, 2012
The White House has underscored its push to extend the Bush administration tax cuts for households making less than $250,000 annually by reiterating its intention to block legislation that would continue the breaks for high-income earners. On Monday, President Barack Obama drew a bright line between himself and Republicans, who are likely to pass a one-year extension of the Bush tax cuts for all income levels in the House later this month. In a blog post Tuesday, a White House official promised that Mr. Obama would scuttle such a bill. “The president also believes that the top 2% should return to Clinton-era income tax rates – when the United States created 23 million jobs and ran the biggest budget surplus in history – and will veto any legislation that extends the unaffordable Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest in our country,” Obama senior adviser David Plouffe wrote. Republicans criticized Mr. Obama for seeking to raise taxes on small businesses, many of which, they say, are run by entrepreneurs who make more than $250,000 a year but pay taxes on the business through their personal returns. “No one should see an income tax hike next year — not families, not small businesses and other job creators,” Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., said in a statement Monday. “We should extend all the tax rates while we make progress on fundamental tax reform. And we should be focused on the pro-growth jobs legislation that the House has passed, while ensuring that Washington does no additional harm to an all-too-fragile economy.” By staking out their positions, the parties have set the election-year debate. What is not clear is whether all the Bush tax cuts will expire as scheduled Jan. 1. That will be determined by whether Mr. Obama follows through on his veto threat — if congressional negotiators send him a bill that maintains the Bush tax cuts for everyone. “It is a really tough question,” said Andrew Friedman, principal at The Washington Update, which provides legislative and regulatory analysis for investors. “It depends on where the economy is and what Obama thinks is the right thing to do. I believe he would probably allow the tax cuts to expire.” In a political season, it's difficult to sort out stances that are designed to appeal to voters and those that truly foreshadow future action. Phillips Hinch, assistant director of government relations at the Financial Planning Association, said the White House veto threat “is definitely playing to the [Democratic] base” and may not become a reality in the tax-policy negotiations during the lame-duck session of Congress later this year — even if Mr. Obama loses the November election. “I'm not sure if, when push comes to shove after the election, that [veto] would hold,” Mr. Hinch said. “The president really owns the economy. He's still worried about his legacy as president. He doesn't want another recession on his watch.” The next few months will be filled with political positioning on tax cuts but few signals about the direction of the lame-duck talks. “There will be no hint as to how this will resolve,” Mr. Friedman said.

Latest News

RIA M&A stays brisk in first quarter with record pace of dealmaking
RIA M&A stays brisk in first quarter with record pace of dealmaking

Driven by robust transaction activity amid market turbulence and increased focus on billion-dollar plus targets, Echelon Partners expects another all-time high in 2025.

New York Dems push for return of tax on stock sales
New York Dems push for return of tax on stock sales

The looming threat of federal funding cuts to state and local governments has lawmakers weighing a levy that was phased out in 1981.

Human Interest and Income Lab streamline workflows for retirement-focused advisors
Human Interest and Income Lab streamline workflows for retirement-focused advisors

The fintech firms' new tools and integrations address pain points in overseeing investment lineups, account monitoring, and more.

Buy or sell Canada? Wealth managers watch carefully as Canadians head to the polls
Buy or sell Canada? Wealth managers watch carefully as Canadians head to the polls

Canadian stocks are on a roll in 2025 as the country prepares to name a new Prime Minister.

Carson, Lido strengthen RIA networks with bicoastal deals
Carson, Lido strengthen RIA networks with bicoastal deals

Carson is expanding one of its relationships in Florida while Lido Advisors adds an $870 million practice in Silicon Valley.

SPONSORED Compliance in real time: Technology's expanding role in RIA oversight

RIAs face rising regulatory pressure in 2025. Forward-looking firms are responding with embedded technology, not more paperwork.

SPONSORED Advisory firms confront crossroads amid historic wealth transfer

As inheritances are set to reshape client portfolios and next-gen heirs demand digital-first experiences, firms are retooling their wealth tech stacks and succession models in real time.